Rhode Island

Tenure Low: McKee at 15% Approval as Bipartisan Majorities Doubt the Washington Bridge Will Open by 2028

Virtue Forge briefing · Based on the UNH Survey Center Ocean State Poll released Sep 24, 2026

What happened

The University of New Hampshire Survey Center’s Ocean State Poll, dated September 24, 2026, finds outgoing Gov. Dan McKee’s job ratings at a new low for his tenure. Only 15% of Rhode Islanders approve of how he is handling the job; 83% disapprove; 2% neither approve nor disapprove or are unsure. UNH puts his net approval at −68.

Party splits are brutal across the board: just 23% of Democrats, 10% of Independents, and 2% of Republicans approve of McKee’s performance. The poll notes approval has continued to fall after he lost the Democratic primary to Helena Foulkes.

On the Washington Bridge—the competence failure that defined the primary—RIDOT’s announced reopen date is November 3, 2028. Asked how likely it is the new bridge will open on time, 33% said very (5%) or somewhat (28%) likely; 64% said not very (35%) or not at all (29%) likely; 3% were unsure. Majorities of Independents (86%), Republicans (74%), and Democrats (53%) say it is not very or not at all likely to open on schedule.

In the general-election horse race among likely voters, Foulkes leads Independent Ken Block 44%–25%, with Republican Aaron Guckian at 17% (other candidates and undecideds fill the rest). Support for Foulkes and Block both rose since August. But the same voters are cool on the Democratic nominee personally: only 24% view Foulkes favorably, 37% unfavorably (net −13), while Block’s net favorability is +12.

Separately, Rhode Islanders largely reject restarting trucking tolls blocked by courts in 2022 and set for reintroduction in 2027: 32% say the state should definitely or probably bring them back; 55% say definitely or probably not.

Fact check: Figures above are from the UNH Ocean State Poll PDF dated Sep 24, 2026 (fielded online Sep 17–21 among Ocean State Panel members; 608 completes, ~30% response; MoE ±4.0%; 598 likely general-election voters, MoE ±4.0%; design effect 2.7%). Attribute the 15%/83%/−68 McKee numbers and the bridge likelihood splits to that release—not to campaign spin. Do not treat the Foulkes 44% lead as a forecast of victory; MoE and undecideds matter. Do not scrub Foulkes’ −13 net favorability when citing her lead. Bridge reopen doubt is public opinion about RIDOT’s November 3, 2028 date, not proof the span will miss that date.

Virtue Forge commentary

Competent government is not a slogan. When an outgoing governor sits at 15% approval and bipartisan majorities refuse to believe the state’s signature infrastructure promise will land on time, Rhode Islanders are grading the machine that broke the Washington Bridge and then managed the fallout.

Bias check: This is not a Foulkes endorsement and not a Block or Guckian ad. A primary win and a general-election plurality in one poll do not erase campaign-finance questions already on the record, nor do they convert an unpopular nominee into a virtue candidate. The civic point is competence and trust: voters punishing failed stewardship should not be asked to pretend the replacement is automatically trustworthy. Keep horse-race numbers in the summary; put the Bridge and approval collapse in the foreground.

Free enterprise and free people need roads that open when promised and officials who earn consent instead of managing decline. Toll schemes that majorities reject, bridge timelines majorities disbelieve, and a governor at tenure-low approval are the same story: centralized power without competence. Rhode Islanders who want humble, honest government should demand receipts on the Bridge schedule—and refuse to confuse party succession with accountability.

Original reporting

Read the underlying poll release:

UNH Survey Center — Ocean State Poll: Democrats Foulkes & Reed Enjoy Wide Leads in Rhode Island While Matos Embattled in Lt. Governor Race (Sep 24, 2026 PDF)

X / @PollTracker2024 — post circulating the Sep 24 UNH figures (secondary pointer; verify against the PDF)